The quasi-stagnation of the Desjardins Leading Index continues, according to the most recent analysis published July 14. That means that Quebec's economy grows slowly actually and will continue to grow at that pace in the coming months.
https://www.desjardins.com/ressources/pdf/ipd0716e.pdf?resVer=1464875179000
Comments on leading indicators and the economic outlook, this is what you will mainly read in my blog.
Thursday, July 14, 2016
Thursday, June 23, 2016
Modest growth of the US economy for the time being
Three indicators published today, June 23, show that the american economy growth is not vigorous actually and that it will continue like that in the coming months.
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index indicates that growth was below trend in May.
https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/cfnai/index
Markit Economics monthly survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry shows that the activity improved lightly in June but remains subdued.
https://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey//PressRelease.mvc/c7420a52858b4686ae89aa398eafd8ba
The monthly and semestrial evolution of the Conference Board leading economic index point to modest growth in the coming months.
https://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=1
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index indicates that growth was below trend in May.
https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/cfnai/index
Markit Economics monthly survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry shows that the activity improved lightly in June but remains subdued.
https://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey//PressRelease.mvc/c7420a52858b4686ae89aa398eafd8ba
The monthly and semestrial evolution of the Conference Board leading economic index point to modest growth in the coming months.
https://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=1
Tuesday, June 14, 2016
Slow growth in Québec, according to the Desjardins Leading Index
The Québec economy will continue to grow in the coming months, but at a weak pace; this is, at least, what we can read from the evolution of the DLI in the recent months.
The most recent data on the DLI were published June 14 on the Desjardins website.
https://www.desjardins.com/ressources/pdf/ipd0616e.pdf?resVer=1464875179000
The most recent data on the DLI were published June 14 on the Desjardins website.
https://www.desjardins.com/ressources/pdf/ipd0616e.pdf?resVer=1464875179000
Friday, June 3, 2016
World economy: its growth is still sluggish, according to PMI data
Symptoms of weak growth in the world economy keep showing in PMI data published June 3 on Markit Economics website.
https://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey//PressRelease.mvc/7dbf0ebff0284f2688cd91765242ce6e
https://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey//PressRelease.mvc/7dbf0ebff0284f2688cd91765242ce6e
Wednesday, May 18, 2016
Slow growth in Québec in the coming months, according to the DLI
The evolution of the Desjardins Leading Index (DLI) in the first quarter of this year lets believe that economic growth is actually weak in Québec, and the outlook for the coming months is also of a slow growth. The DLI stabilised in February and March, after having dimished in January.
Link to the Desjardins analysis:
https://www.desjardins.com/ressources/pdf/ipd0516e.pdf?resVer=1454595388000
Link to the Desjardins analysis:
https://www.desjardins.com/ressources/pdf/ipd0516e.pdf?resVer=1454595388000
Wednesday, May 11, 2016
Downturn in the canadian construction industry in 2016
Recent data on three indicators point to a downturn in the canadian construction industry activity this year:
- Capital expenditures,
- Housing starts,
- Building permits value.
Capital expenditures (intentions for 2016), published by Statistics Canada May 10
Housing starts, published by CMHC May 9
Building permits value, published May 5 by Statistics Canada
- Capital expenditures,
- Housing starts,
- Building permits value.
Capital expenditures (intentions for 2016), published by Statistics Canada May 10
Housing starts, published by CMHC May 9
Building permits value, published May 5 by Statistics Canada
World economy: stable, but slow, growth, according to OECD leading indicators
The most recent OECD monthly leading indicators point to "stable growth", but at a low level in the coming months, notably in its member countries taken as a whole. The outlook is stabilising or improving somewhat in the main emerging economies.
OECD May 11 press release available at:
http://www.oecd.org/std/leading-indicators/compositeleadingindicatorsclioecdmay2016.htm
OECD May 11 press release available at:
http://www.oecd.org/std/leading-indicators/compositeleadingindicatorsclioecdmay2016.htm
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