Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Modest growth in Quebec in the coming months

The Desjardins Leading Index (DLI) points to a modest growth of the economic activity in Quebec for the time being and in the coming months. The DLI stagnated in September and its July and August progression was revised downward, according to the information published November 16 on Desjardins Internet page.

https://www.desjardins.com/ressources/pdf/ipd1115e.pdf?resVer=1447698715000

Wednesday, November 4, 2015

World Economy: Modest Pace of Growth

The most recent JPMorgan Global Manufacturing & Services PMI, published November 4 on Markit Economics Internet site, lets believe that the world economy pace of growth is quite modest actually.




















Link to Markit Economics:
http://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey//PressRelease.mvc/a903e72174024a78bf731053d96077e3

Thursday, October 22, 2015

Growth slowdown in the United States

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index and monthly leading indicators from the Conference Board and the OECD all show that the pace of growth in the United States is slowing down and that this trend will continue in the coming months.

CFNAI:
https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/cfnai/index

Conference Board:
https://www.conference-board.org/pdf_free/press/US%20LEI%20-%20Tech%20Notes%20Oct%2022%202015.pdf

OECD:
http://www.oecd.org/std/leading-indicators/CLI-Oct15.pdf



Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Quebec economy: modest to moderate growth in the coming months

The recent evolution of the Desjardins Leading Index (DLI) lets believe that Quebec economy expands now at a pace going from modest to moderate, and that it will follow a similar trend in the coming months. The most recent data and analysis on the DLI were published October 13.

Thursday, October 8, 2015

Slower growth in the OECD area in the coming months

Monthly leading indicators published October 8 by the OECD point to slower growth in the coming months in that area, but the euro zone economic outlook should be stable.












Source: http://www.oecd.org/std/leading-indicators/CLI-Oct15.pdf

Tuesday, September 8, 2015

World economy: its growth is weaker than expected

Three reliable sources show that the world economy grows at a slower pace than what was expected a few months ago, and that this trend could continue in the coming months:

OECD September 8 news release on composite leading indicators:
http://www.oecd.org/std/leading-indicators/composite-leading-indicators-cli-oecd-september-2015.htm

IMF staff briefing note in preparation to the  September 4-5 G-20 meeting:
http://www.imf.org/external/np/g20/090415.htm

Markit Economics September 3 press release on the J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing & Services PMI:
http://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey//PressRelease.mvc/8ae9460470fc42aa85ed4b394308f420

Scenario of slow growth for Canada

OECD leading indicators for Canada suggest again slow growth in economic activity in the coming months. The most recent data were published September 8.