The index of leading indicators of the evolution of euro zone economy increased again in December according to the data and the analysis published January 28 by the Conference Board.
Details at : http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=10
February 5 update : The PMI from Markit Economics show that the eurozone economy kept improving in January.
Details at : http://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey/PressRelease.mvc/8234c73e83714049a57e79337b91f438
Comments on leading indicators and the economic outlook, this is what you will mainly read in my blog.
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Thursday, January 23, 2014
American Economy : Sustained Growth
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index, based on 85 monthly indicators, shows that the US economy grew at a pace slightly higher than the trend during the last quarter of 2013.
http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/publications/cfnai/2014/cfnai_january2014.pdf
The monthly and semi-annual evolution of the Conference Board leading economic index points towards a sustained growth in the coming months.
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=1
Many forecasters (IMF, World Bank, Conference Board, etc.) anticipate that the US GDP will grow by around 3% this year, compared to close to 2% in 2013.
http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/publications/cfnai/2014/cfnai_january2014.pdf
The monthly and semi-annual evolution of the Conference Board leading economic index points towards a sustained growth in the coming months.
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=1
Many forecasters (IMF, World Bank, Conference Board, etc.) anticipate that the US GDP will grow by around 3% this year, compared to close to 2% in 2013.
Big Mac Index : the canadian dollar overvalued in January 2014
According to the Big Mac Index published by The Economist, the canadian dollar is overvalued, compared to the US dollar, by 8.4 % in January 2014.
Details at : http://www.economist.com/content/big-mac-index
Details at : http://www.economist.com/content/big-mac-index
Wednesday, January 22, 2014
Monday, January 13, 2014
Better growth prospects in the OECD area
The OECD leading indicators, published January 13, point to a more rapid pace of growth in many countries of the OECD area.
Details at : http://www.oecd.org/std/leading-indicators/compositeleadingindicatorsclioecdjanuary2014.htm
Details at : http://www.oecd.org/std/leading-indicators/compositeleadingindicatorsclioecdjanuary2014.htm
Tuesday, January 7, 2014
Canadian economy : modest growth in the coming months
The leading indicators of the canadian economy show that its growth will be modest in the months to come. This is what we can interpret from the publication on January 6 of the Macdonald-Laurier Institute press release on the recent evolution of its index of leading indicators.
Details at : http://www.macdonaldlaurier.ca/biggest-us-advance-in-years-drives-mli-leading-economic-indicator-up-0-3-in-november/
The manufacturing sector should contribute moderatly to the growth of the whole economy based on the recent evolution of the RBC PMI published January 2 on the Internet site of Markit Economics.
Details at : http://www.markiteconomics.com/Public/Page.mvc/PressReleases
The Bank of Canada Report on Monetary Policy, to be published January 22, will give us a more complete overview on the state of the canadian economy and the Bank's projections for the coming quarters. Watch for questions on the absence of inflationary pressures and the possibility of deflation.
Details at : http://www.macdonaldlaurier.ca/biggest-us-advance-in-years-drives-mli-leading-economic-indicator-up-0-3-in-november/
The manufacturing sector should contribute moderatly to the growth of the whole economy based on the recent evolution of the RBC PMI published January 2 on the Internet site of Markit Economics.
Details at : http://www.markiteconomics.com/Public/Page.mvc/PressReleases
The Bank of Canada Report on Monetary Policy, to be published January 22, will give us a more complete overview on the state of the canadian economy and the Bank's projections for the coming quarters. Watch for questions on the absence of inflationary pressures and the possibility of deflation.
Monday, January 6, 2014
World economy : moderate rate of expansion
The world economy keeps expanding at a moderate rate. This is what the JPMorgan Global Manufacturing & Services PMI suggests. The evolution of the new orders subindex shows that this trend will continue in the coming months. The most recent monthly data and analysis were published January 6 on the Internet site of Markit Economics.
Details at : http://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey/PressRelease.mvc/ebfdf95d51b2401aae0936330ea3bd7e
Details at : http://www.markiteconomics.com/Survey/PressRelease.mvc/ebfdf95d51b2401aae0936330ea3bd7e
Thursday, January 2, 2014
World manufacturing sector keeps expanding
According to Markit's PMI, the world manufacturing activity was expanding at a healthy rate in December. The evolution of the new order subindex shows that growth will continue in that sector in the near future.
Details at :
http://www.markit.com/assets/en/docs/commentary/markit-economics/2014/jan/Global_PMI_manu_14_01_02.pdf
Details at :
http://www.markit.com/assets/en/docs/commentary/markit-economics/2014/jan/Global_PMI_manu_14_01_02.pdf
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